Can We Stop Saying Omnichannel And Just Say Retailing?
While the rate of penetration of e-commerce differs greatly based on retail category, I think we can safely put to bed the notion of physical retail being doomed. The e-commerce boom has been significant, averaging double digit growth rates for the past 15 years in terms of sales. Yet, that growth rate has slowed significantly and has been cut in about half since 2004 (31 percent Q1 2004 vs 15.1 percent Q1 2017) and e-commerce sales still sit at less than 10 percent of total retail according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
But while the e-commerce picture is starting to become a bit clearer now, over the past decade it was not nearly so and a lot of over-reaction took place. I have had retail executives from large companies tell me that they were spending roughly 90 percent of their capex on e-commerce platforms and distribution – even though it represented at best 10 percent of their sales. Think about that for a moment – the industry was dumping huge sums of money to upgrade the systems for a channel that brought in one-tenth of their income, while allowing the channel that brought in the remaining nine-tenths to languish from a capital expenditures standpoint. So, it’s no wonder retail stores felt old and tired – because they were! We weren’t spending any money on keeping them fresh. As the picture comes more into focus, I expect that trend to reverse significantly – and it is already, as more retailers are focusing on upgrading their experiential offerings.
But what if we were sitting on the best solution to the last mile equation this entire time? That’s right, the same physical real estate that went unnoticed or underappreciated for many retailers over the past decade provides the best ability to serve as the crucial last step in the distribution chain between e-commerce and the consumer.
Another way retailers are testing to solve the last mile is through crowdsourced delivery options. Providers like Deliv are attractive to retailers because it allows them to still own the customer relationship while helping them provide the coveted same day delivery. Cost will be the factor to note in these cases, but giving the customer the option is what makes this attractive. Time-pressed shoppers may very well opt for same-day delivery over picking-up in store, especially if it is more cost-effective than traditional delivery options.
Of course another huge advantage that stores can lean on is their large employee base and Walmart is testing that theory for last mile shipping. The program pays employees extra to deliver online orders to customers that are on their normal route home. According to a blog post by president and CEO of Walmart eCommerce U.S., Marc Lore, the retailer’s store network “puts us within 10 miles of 90% of the U.S. population.” By leveraging their stores and their employees, Walmart has found a new way to make same-day delivery work. Again, while not as fast as in-store or curb-side pick-up, this method allows the retailer to bring its pre-existing assets to bear in the quest for the elusive last-mile solution.
So, are we ready to finally retire the “omnichannel” crutch-phrase? Unfortunately, not quite yet as solutions are still being worked through and retailers are finally spending on upgrading their physical infrastructures once again. But I can see it, it’s not that far off I promise – the day when we can back to just talking about “retailing” again.
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