Ireland Tops U.S. as the Country
Best Able to Feed Its People
The U.S. for the first time dropped from the top spot in a global ranking of how well countries can feed their own people, as concerns about agricultural research spending and government policy trends may make the world’s top food exporter a less-certain place to get a meal.
Ireland is the world’s most “food-secure” nation, improving its food affordability, availability, quality and safety while the U.S. has stagnated, according to a copy of the sixth annual Global Food Security Index compiled by the Economist Intelligence Unit scheduled for release Tuesday.
Worldwide, food security fell for the first time in five years, largely because of increases in the number of refugees, weather disasters and a decline in global political stability. The examination, commissioned by Dupont Co., this year added metrics based on climate and natural-resource risks. Adjusting for those factors, the U.S. fell to fourth place, with Austria and France moving ahead.
Top 20 Countries Before and After New Metrics
U.S., already down a notch, falls to fourth when climate's factored in
Overall ranking
Adjusted
Ireland
United States
United Kingdom
Singapore
Australia
Netherlands
Germany
France
Canada
Sweden
Austria
Switzerland
Norway
New Zealand
Finland
Denmark
Belgium
Japan
Israel
Portugal
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
28
Ireland
Austria
France
United States
Germany
Switzerland
United Kingdom
Canada
Denmark
Sweden
Netherlands
New Zealand
Finland
Australia
Norway
Belgium
Japan
Portugal
Singapore
Spain (rose from 21)
Israel (fell to 28)
“Food security is in reverse,” said Robert Powell, a senior consultant with the Economist Intelligence Unit in New York. “If we’re aiming for zero hunger, we’re going in the wrong direction.”
The number of people suffering from hunger rose by about 38 million to 815 million in 2016, the United Nations said last month. Climate change is seen as a driver of increasing weather volatility which is contributing to famines in developing nations. This year, adverse weather combined with conflict was tied to famine and severe food shortages in South Sudan, Nigeria, Somalia and Yemen.
Richer nations have fewer problems providing inexpensive, plentiful and safe food to their citizens. Still, risks remain, and some are increasing, according to the study.
Four Categories Make Up the Score
Natural resources and resilience were added this year
Quality
And Safety
Diet diversification
Nutritional standards
Micronutrient availability
Protein quality
Food safety
Affordability
Food consumption as share of household expenditure
Proportion of population under global poverty line
Gross domestic product per capita
Agricultural import tariffs
Presence of food safety net programs
Access to financing for farmers
Availability
Sufficiency of supply
Public expenditure on agricultural R&D
Agricultural infrastructure
Volatility of agricultural production
Political stability risk
Corruption
Urban absorption capacity
Food loss
Added in 2017:
Natural Resources And Resilience
Exposure
Water
Land
Oceans
Sensitivity
Adaptive capacity
Demographic stresses
Wealthier countries including the U.S. and Canada have highly productive food systems, but use more water than they need to, leaving them more vulnerable to increasingly severe droughts expected because of climate change. European nations, meanwhile, may see strains caused by an aging population that pays less in taxes and demands more social services.
Countries in sub-Saharan Africa clustered near the bottom of the rankings yet have opportunities to develop more sustainable food systems as late adapters to technology, the report said.
Meanwhile, some developed nations rose or fell dramatically in the rankings because of local circumstances. Austria has a relatively stable climate and very low soil erosion, aiding food production, sending its rating upward. Singapore, meanwhile, fell more than any other nation, given the threat it faces from rising sea levels, exposure to extreme weather and reliance on food imports.
Climate and Resources: Nobody's Perfect
Singapore threat severe while every country faces challenges
Adjusted Food Security Score
Overall Food Security Score
70
80
90
Ireland
United States
United Kingdom
Singapore
Australia
Netherlands
Germany
France
Canada
Sweden
Austria
Switzerland
Norway
New Zealand
Finland
Denmark
Belgium
Japan
Israel
Portugal
The study places a high value on government support for agricultural research, which is important to keeping nutrition inexpensive and available as food needs increase, Powell said. This is where Ireland, a country where an 1840s famine led a half-million residents to migrate to America, has excelled while the U.S. has faltered, according to the report.
Ireland has outspent the U.S. in relative terms on public research and development on agriculture over the past five years, increasing farming’s share of gross domestic product even as its economy has grown, according to data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development.
Climate and Resources Greatly Affect Stability
Low resources and resilience scores lowered every nation’s overall rating, adjusting scores downward
Ireland
United States
Austria
Singapore
90
90
90
90
80
80
80
80
70
70
70
70
60
60
60
60
50
50
50
50
Ireland has outspent the U.S. in public agricultural R&D, increasing farming’s share of GDP.
Austria did relatively better than other countries on climate. That pushed the country's ranking higher.
Rising sea levels and exposure to extreme weather caused Singapore to fall in the rankings more than any other nation.
The U.S. has highly productive food systems but uses more water than it needs and is vulnerable to drought.
U.S. funding as a share of GDP has declined over that same period. That, combined with concerns about U.S. governance—“the United States’ hostile policy towards immigration and trade has dampened the foreign policy outlook” the report said—allowed Ireland to take the top spot.
“Ireland has roared back marvelously from the banking crisis, and their agriculture research and development has increased,” Powell said. In the U.S., “we haven’t seen that level of public-sector investment.”
The study, first published in 2012, is used to guide corporate decisions on allocating resources, said Krysta Harden, a former U.S. Agriculture Department deputy secretary who’s now the chief sustainability officer and vice president for public policy for the agriculture division of DowDuPont Inc.
Its publication is meant to aid governments, nongovernmental organizations and businesses in understanding where food struggles are greatest and where more work needs to be done even in relatively more secure nations, she said.
“Hopefully it’s a wake-up call,” she said. “Agriculture is an ongoing investment that cannot end and cannot be diminished.”
The Global Index
Sort by Overall Score, Resources and Resilience, and Adjusted Score
Country
Overall Food Security Score
Natural Resources and Resilience
Adjusted Overall Food Security
Adjustment
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